greenberg carvilleStan Greenberg, a prominent Democratic pollster who advised Bill Clinton’s presidential campaigns, says that if national elections were held today Democrats would lose control of Congress, an outcome that would likely stop current progress on federal LGBT legislative agenda items.

The Huffington Post reported:

Speaking to reporters on Wednesday morning, Stan Greenberg — alongside his fellow strategist and party adviser James Carville — said that the signs of electoral bloodbath exist today, though not quite as strongly as they did 16 years ago.

“We are on the edge of it. but we are not there,” Greenberg said, at a breakfast sponsored by theChristian Science Monitor. “If the election were now, we would have a change election; we would have a 1994.”

Michael Mitchell, executive director of National Stonewall Democrats, told GayPolitics a GOP takeover of Congress would have a devastating effect on the chances for passage of key LGBT legislation:

“LGBT folks have to look no further back than the last administration to see what it would be like without a Democratic majority in Congress. It was a frustrating and stagnant time for our rights. Yes, the pace of change has not been what we wanted since then, but it has quickened considerably from the Bush years and there is a lot of progress on LGBT issues that can be pointed to in the short span of Obama’s administration.

We need to work to not only have a Democratic majority, but to work for a pro-equality majority: folks who will proactively take the lead to move us to full equality. We need to do whatever we can to make sure that the environment is created where elected officials can do the right thing. I believe with every sinew of my being that that environment will not happen under Republican leadership.”

Charles Moran, national spokesperson for Log Cabin Republicans, agreed a GOP takeover won’t help pass things like the Employment Non-Discrimination Act in the short term, but added that it could force LGBT activists to get serious about reaching out to conservatives who would benefit from being educated about real barriers faced by LGBT Americans. And that, he says, could mean real and lasting change.

“The stumbling block is that for so long we haven’t been talking to conservatives. We haven’t taken the opportunity to sit down, explain how our goals fit a conservative agenda, and figure out a way to make it work. We simply won’t get to victory if we put all of our eggs in one basket,” Moran told GayPolitics.