Politico: Marriage may take prominent role in presidential election
In an article for Politico, David Paul Kuhn reports that pollsters are warning that marriage equality may take center stage in this year’s presidential election, just as it did in the polarizing 2004 election.
The article quotes pollster Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, as saying that the issue could aggravate Barack Obama’s problem demographic: white working class voters. “There is no reason to think [gay marriage] should be less potent of an issue in 2008 than in 2004,” he said.
Kuhn writes:
This year, social conservatives are again pushing to turn same-sex marriage into a hot-button social issue. Family Research Council President Tony Perkins hosted a panel in Washington Thursday on “the national implications of the [California] ruling and on the plans to repel this assault on marriage and the family.”
Perkins was joined by Ken Blackwell, who served as Ohio’s secretary of state in 2004. Ohio was one of 11 states to pass a same-sex marriage ban that year. This year, it’s possible that two of the most populous states—Florida and California—could have same-sex marriage measures on the ballot in November.
Some Washington analysts believe gay marriage has dulled as a wedge issue, pointing to the subdued public response to the May 15 California ruling, rising worries about the economy, and stylistic and ideological differences between the Bush and presumptive Republican nominee John McCain.
Others say that the current political landscape has altered the issue environment.
“The difference this time is also that the Republicans are on the defensive so wedge issues work less,” pollster John Zogby said.
Karlyn Bowman, a public opinion researcher at American Enterprise Institute, said there may be a public “exhaustion” with the debate over gay marriage.
But polling suggests there’s been no large drop off in voters concerns over gay marriage between 2004 and today. A report released Thursday by The Pew Research Center for the People & the Press reported that 28 percent of voters view the issue as “very important in their decision about who to vote for in the fall,” only a slight decline from 32 percent in October 2004.
Daily News columnist Ann Bradley revealed that California Supreme Court Justice Carol Corrigan, who cast one of two dissenting votes in the recent marriage ruling, is a lesbian.
While national headlines trumpet New York Gov. David Paterson’s direction for the state to recognize all out-of-state marriages, the move came after two openly LGBT state legislators wrote to the state’s counsel regarding the matter.
Polish member of parliament Janusz Palikot (right) may face suspension from the ruling Civic Platform party after he made critical comments about the founder of the ultraconservative Catholic radio station Radio Maryja.
